Saturday, May 26, 2012

Derivative Securities

Derivative Securities

Derivative Securities

We all use derivative contracts implicitly when we give advance for purchase of items, assets, and services. Forward agreements, contracts to sell a commodity at an agreed price at future date are derivative contracts only

Authors

Contributers

Introduction

 
We all use derivative contracts implicitly when we give advance for purchase of items, assets, and services.
 
Forward agreements, contracts to sell a commodity at an agreed price at future date are recorded in history.
 
But exchange traded derivatve securities are a recent innovation. Derivative securities are a part of markets for risk. In markets for risk, risk is bought and sold. A person who has a risk, but not interested to bear it can go to the market and sell the risk. In this role he is called a hedger. Some other person who wants to acquire the risk, sells a contract for a premium, The contract has provision to compensate the seller of risk (buyer of protection) in case of losses suffered by him due to the inherent risk that he sold.
 
 Even though derivatives are declared as securities in laws of various countries, they are better described as contracts. An exchange traded derivative contract can be traded at an exchange, such as the London International Financial Futures Exchange (LIFFE), where the contracts are pre-defined, and traded via screens, fully electronically. A derivative contract can also be agreed directly between two parties, commonly referred to as Over The Counter or OTC.

The OTC derivatives market is indeed one of risk transfer, but has expanded to enable the pricing, and trading of risk on many different underlying factors such as Interest Rates, Equity Prices, Foreign Exchange Rates, Credit worthiness, and Commodity prices.

The OTC derivatives market is self regulated by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, the global trade body which all OTC users belong to. Much more information can be found at their website www.isda.org including a much longer introduction to the topic.

For derivatives traded on-exchange, information on contracts traded and trading procedures can be acquired by visiting websites of exchanges such as LIFFE, CBOT, NYMEX, ICE and others.


Derivative Securities - Various Instruments

 
Forward Contracts
A contract between two parties, one party willing to sell a commodity or an underlying asset at an agreed price and an agreed party at a future date. The other party willing to take delivery of the asset and make payment at the future date.
 
Futures  Contracts
Futures contracts are standardized contracts traded on exchanges. The contract quantity and delivery dates are standardized. The contract rate or value keeps fluctuating based on the price of the underlying asset.
 
Options
Option contract give a right to the buyer of the contract but not an obligation to demand fulfilment of the agreement from the seller
 
Swaps
In swap asset or liability positions of two parties are swapped between them.
 
 
 
 
 

Availability of Derivative Contracts for Acquisition and Trading

 

Futures

Are available on
 
Commodities
 
Stocks
 
Debt Instruments (Interest Rates)
 
Currencies
 
 

Options

are available on
Commodities
 
Stocks
 
Debt Instruments (Interest Rates)
 
Currencies



Comments

Thanks Bill Hodgson

Thank you for contributing to the development of the knol

Narayana Rao - 21 Jan 2009

Credit Default Swaps

Credit Default Swaps

Credit Default Swaps

Derivative Contracts Articles

Authors

In the credit default swap, banks buy default protection from the counterparties by paying a premium when the swap is initiated.
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Research Papers

Valuing Credit Default Swaps I: No Counterparty Default Risk,.
Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 8, No. 1, (Fall 2000), pp. 29-40 (John Hull with Alan White)


Valuing Credit Default Swaps II: Modeling Default Correlations,
Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 8, No. 3, (Spring 2001), pp. 12-22 (John Hull with Alan White)
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP SPREADS, BOND YIELDS, AND CREDIT RATING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Hull et al.
Bond Prices, Default Probabilities, and Risk Premiums
Journal of Credit Risk, Vol 1, No. 2 (Spring 2005), 53-60 (John Hull with Mirela Predescu and Alan White)

Exotic Path Dependent Options

Exotic Path Dependent Options

Exotic Path Dependent Options

Derivative Contracts Articles

Authors

Barrier option
An option the payoff of which depends on the payoff to an ordinary option and whether a prespecified barrier has been crossed.
 
Asian option and look back options are also path dependent options.
 
 

 

Research Papers

 

Pricing Strongly Path-Dependent Options in Libor Market Models without Simulation 

Chris Kenyon, DEPFA Bank plc, July 2008, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1253302

Connecting Discrete and Continuous Path-Dependent Options, 1999

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=140262

 

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Prof Jeremy Siegel - Dow will touch 15,000 by year end 2013



Watch Professor Siegel explaining his proposition in a TV interview
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Video streaming by Ustream ______________
http://www.distressedvolatility.com/2012/05/whartons-siegel-euro-hits-parity-with.html


He advocates the depreciation of Euro to parity with dollar. This will spur exports from Euro region.


But listen to Marc Faber. He forecasts wealth destruction to the extent of 50%. Where will be happen? Mainly in equity markets.

_______________ ________________ http://www.distressedvolatility.com/2012/04/marc-faber-massive-wealth-destruction.html

Who will be right? Faber or Siegel

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Stop Loss - Management of a Technical Trade

Stop Loss - Management of a Technical Trade

Stop Loss - Management of a Technical Trade

Technical Analysis of Stock Prices

Authors

No technical analysis procedure or technique or method is infallible. The analysis gives an entry signal. A technical trader enters into the trade. But if the prices go in the opposite direction to the trend indicated by the technical analysis, the theory of technical trading tells you to close the trade.
 
Stop losses have to be determined before you enter into a trade. The moment adverse price moment touches your stop loss level, you have to close the trade. Every technical trader must first train himself to accept losses as and when they occur in trading. Losses are an integral part of technical trading. You gain on somedays you lose on some days. But your technique and your trade management process should earn you a good return on the long run. The maxim of trading is  to cut your losses and allow your profits to run.



Stop Loss
 
The stock broker says, what is your stop loss?
The customer says, why should I stop my loss?
I am in it for profit
Why should I drop it?
 
You know less
But want to make more
Your chart might have said buy
You may be a right guy
But the operator may sell
and your trade may go to hell
 
Don't use your yell
It is better to sell
Don't allow your trade to stay
Save the capital for another day.
 
For more poems on stock  market

Moving Average Methods of Trend Following

Moving Average Methods of Trend Following

Moving Average Methods of Trend Following

Technical Analysis of Stock Prices

Authors

A moving average line is a trendline. using the past data of prices moving averages of various durations can be calculated. Some of the popular moving average periods are 10-day, 50-day, 100-day and 200 day moving averages. Normally in an uptrend the price points plot over a moving average line. If the daily prices start crossing the moving average line from above and starting plotting below, there is the indication of downtrend.
 
Similarly in a downtrend, daily prices plot below the moving average line. If they cross the moving average line from below and start plotting above the moving average line, there is an indication of upward trend.
 
200-day moving average is taken as indicating a long-term trend.

Trend Following on Charts

Trend Following on Charts

Trend Following on Charts

Technical Analysis of Stock Prices

Authors

For following the trend, the simplest procedure is to draw an upward sloping line which touches the bottoms of two or more consecutive reactions. This will give an upward trend line.
 
If one can draw a downward sloping line that touches the tops of  two or more consecutive rallies, it will be a downward trendline.
 
A sharp breakdown of the trendline will dramatically indicate the change of trend.
 
Is it an infallible technique. No, there is no infallible method in judging movements in prices. But a method is better than no method at all. When you are fascinated by the fluctuations in prices and the stories neighbors who made millions already, you need a method to enter the business of stock price forecasting and trading.